América PE vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
65.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
YPI
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 3
AME
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
SAN
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
PET
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 3
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |