América PE vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
GLO
23%
26%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
GLO
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |