América PE vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
AME
43%
27%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
FEC
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
GLO
27%
27%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
GLO
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |