América PE vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
AFO
2 - 1
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PER
1 - 3
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
AFO
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 1
ACA
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
FEC
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
3 - 2
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEC
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |