América PE vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FEC
2 - 1
AME
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
CEN
21%
24%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
70%
20%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
AME
45%
26%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
BAH
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SDJ
2 - 2
BAH
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |