América PE vs Araripina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
AME
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SPO
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
AME
77%
15%
7%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 3
PET
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ARA
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
ARA
87%
10%
4%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |