América Mineiro vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
2.7%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 2
AMF
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
2 - 0
UBE
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 6
AMF
7%
16%
77%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
AMF
6 - 0
POA
93%
6%
1%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATH
24%
23%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
IFC
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRZ
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |