América Mineiro vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
4%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMF
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 0
BAH
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
4 - 0
AMF
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
SAN
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 5
TFC
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
DEM
4 - 3
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |