América Mineiro vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
AMF
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOT
30%
31%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 2
AMF
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 2
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 1
AMF
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 2
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |