América Mineiro vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
AMF
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 3
CEA
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
AMF
4 - 0
CRB
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
AMF
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATM
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PRU
1 - 0
PAR
13%
19%
68%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 5
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |