América Mineiro vs Nacional MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 2
AMF
80%
13%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
AMF
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
URT
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
AMF
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
AMF
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOM
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | +7 |