América Mineiro vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
AMF
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
AMF
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
AMF
0 - 0
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 3
AMF
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
JEC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
ICA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 3
JEC
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 2
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |