América Mineiro vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
5 - 2
AMF
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 1
AMF
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 0
CAL
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
BOA
66%
19%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
AME
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |