América Mineiro vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
4 - 3
AMF
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
USC
0 - 2
AMF
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 1
AMF
72%
17%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
3 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
USC
1 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEM
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |