América Mineiro vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
AMF
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 5
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
AMF
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 3
CEA
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRÊ
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
GRÊ
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRÊ
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
CRB
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 1
GRÊ
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |