Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-0
América Mineiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 1
AMF
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 2
RBB
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 1
AMF
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLU
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
BAH
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |