América Mineiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 1
AMF
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AMF
0 - 2
CRZ
18%
23%
60%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
AMF
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 0
MAM
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAH
6 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 1
BAH
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SDJ
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |