América Mineiro vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
AMF
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 0
GRE
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
AMF
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |