América Mineiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 2
SPO
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLA
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
10%
18%
73%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 1
CEA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 3
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |