Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-1
América Mineiro vs Boavista SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
AMF
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
AMF
31%
23%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
AMF
17%
20%
63%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RES
2 - 0
BOA
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
AMF
31%
23%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAS
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |