América Mineiro vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
AMF
3 - 2
BOA
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
26%
26%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
GRÊ
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
AMF
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 5
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
ASA
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
AVA
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 2
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |