América FC vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
MIX
4 - 2
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
MIX
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 2
AFC
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 0
CAM
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
REM
1 - 0
AFC
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
REM
1 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
REM
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
VIL
25%
27%
49%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |