Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-2
América FC vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 1
AFC
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
MIX
4 - 2
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MAD
6 - 2
OPE
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
2 - 4
MAD
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 0
USC
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
USC
1 - 3
MAD
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |