América FC vs Cristal CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cristal CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 4
ORC
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 2
SPM
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 2
SAO
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
TDC
0 - 0
CRI
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRI
4 - 0
IAP
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |