America des Cayes vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
America des Cayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PET
1 - 0
AME
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
CAP
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 0
AME
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
4 - 8
ARN
6%
14%
81%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
NOT
80%
13%
6%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |