América Pirán vs Valeria del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Pirán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SCS
1 - 1
AME
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AME
2 - 1
RAO
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
AME
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
AME
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valeria del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VDM
0 - 2
LIN
7%
15%
78%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SCS
2 - 0
VDM
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VDM
1 - 4
BVI
8%
15%
78%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
RAO
4 - 0
VDM
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
VDM
0 - 2
FER
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |