Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 4-2
América de Cali vs UA Maracaibo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
ONC
2 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUI
2 - 1
AME
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |