Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
América de Cali vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 1
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
BOL
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1993 |
AME
4 - 2
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
AME
4 - 2
SCI
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
41%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
0 - 1
SPC
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 3
SPC
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |