Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 5-2
América de Cali vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
RSC
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
AME
14%
24%
62%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
RIO
63%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 3
AME
26%
26%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 1
AME
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
RSC
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
RSC
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 3
AME
26%
26%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 0
SFC
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |