América de Cali vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 0
AME
39%
31%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
REA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
MIL
34%
25%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
6 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |