Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
América de Cali vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
OPE
1 - 1
AME
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
11%
32%
57%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
AME
1 - 0
MWA
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
OPE
1 - 1
AME
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
COL
0 - 0
OPE
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1988 |
OPE
2 - 1
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 2
OPE
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |