América de Cali vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
CAL
4 - 2
AME
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 0
CSD
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
AME
2 - 2
UCH
63%
18%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 0
UCH
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
CSD
71%
16%
14%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |