América de Cali vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
AME
2 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
TOL
0 - 2
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
1 - 2
AME
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
1 - 3
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 0
BLO
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |