Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-1
América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
BUC
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
AME
4 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
ONC
2 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CUC
2 - 1
CAL
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
CAL
5 - 0
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 3
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |