América de Cali vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
AME
2 - 0
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 0
AME
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SFE
0 - 1
AME
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ENV
2 - 3
AME
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
AME
4 - 1
12O
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
EME
50%
30%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
CUE
38%
30%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 1
NAC
41%
30%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |