Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
América de Cali vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 3
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 2
AME
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 1
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 2
NOB
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
GLP
0 - 1
CEN
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 1
COB
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEN
3 - 3
CAU
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |