Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-2
América de Cali vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1993 |
AME
4 - 2
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
AME
4 - 2
SCI
56%
26%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
SCI
1 - 1
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 3
AME
54%
26%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1993 |
UCO
3 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
BOL
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOL
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 0
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |