América de Cali vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
EQU
0 - 2
AME
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
PER
42%
26%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
5 - 2
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HUI
2 - 2
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
AGU
4 - 0
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |