Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-3
América de Cali vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
JUN
64%
23%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ENV
0 - 1
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
46%
28%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
AME
3 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
PAS
1 - 1
NAC
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
65%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |