Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
América de Cali vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1992 |
AME
1 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
UCO
0 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1992 |
SPC
3 - 1
AME
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
SBO
1 - 2
AME
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAR
83%
14%
4%
|
78 | 31 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAC
13%
24%
64%
|
79 | 30 | 49 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1992 |
SPC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
SBO
0 - 6
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |