América de Cali vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
27%
25%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AME
4 - 0
SFC
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
AME
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
TFC
71%
19%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |