Amberg vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
1 - 0
ERB
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
AMB
50%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 3
ELT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
0 - 2
JRE
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
AMB
19%
22%
60%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
SEL
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
WUR
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
6 - 0
SEL
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
WEI
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 2
SEL
33%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |