Amberg vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 1
AMB
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AMB
3 - 2
TRO
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AMB
2 - 2
AMM
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AMB
4 - 2
BAY
64%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 3
AMB
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 1
TRO
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
KLE
2 - 4
GRO
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
BAY
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ERB
2 - 2
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
WUR
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |