Amberg vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WUR
0 - 0
AMB
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
AMB
1 - 2
FRO
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
AMM
0 - 1
AMB
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AMB
1 - 4
BAY
18%
23%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 0
AMB
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
ERL
0 - 0
VIK
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ERL
2 - 1
FEU
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 2
ERL
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ERL
0 - 2
EIC
20%
24%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SEL
3 - 2
ERL
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |