Amberg vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 3
AMB
14%
20%
67%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
WUR
3 - 2
AMB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AMB
2 - 0
FRO
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WEI
0 - 0
AMB
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AMB
3 - 1
NEU
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MEM
0 - 0
ERL
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JRE
1 - 1
ERL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ERL
0 - 0
WUR
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 0
ERL
44%
23%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ERL
2 - 0
WEI
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |