Amberg vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 2
AMB
41%
24%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AMB
1 - 1
ERL
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
WUR
0 - 2
AMB
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AMB
0 - 3
AUB
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
VIK
1 - 1
AMB
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
ERB
1 - 4
AHA
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
ANS
1 - 0
ERB
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ERB
2 - 2
NEU
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
ELT
1 - 1
ERB
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ERB
1 - 0
MEM
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |