Amberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AHA
0 - 2
AMB
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 0
MEM
72%
16%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 3
SEL
71%
17%
13%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
1 - 0
ERB
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
AMB
50%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
ERL
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 0
BAY
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WEI
0 - 1
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 2
BAY
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
JFO
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |