Amberg vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 2
AMB
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AMB
2 - 0
AHA
75%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
SCH
5 - 0
AMB
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
AMB
0 - 0
FCP
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
WAC
3 - 1
AMB
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 0
AUB
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
AMM
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |