AmaZulu vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AmaZulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 1
AMA
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
AMA
0 - 0
PIR
30%
30%
41%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMA
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AMA
0 - 2
CHI
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AMA
0 - 1
SSU
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRE
62%
23%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
FRE
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 1
MPU
66%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
FRE
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |