Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Amazonas FC vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amazonas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
LAG
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
JCA
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
AFC
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
NVE
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 1
POR
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
AIM
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |